California vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 21

(AP Photo)
  • San Diego State is a -4.5 point favorite vs California
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • California / San Diego State TV channel: ACCN

The California Golden Bears visit SAP Center at San Jose to take on the San Diego State Aztecs on Dec. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in San Jose, CA.

San Diego State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The California vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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California vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
California+4.5 -105O 146.5 -105+170
San Diego State -4.5 -115U 146.5 -115-210

California vs San Diego State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts California will win this college basketball game with 56.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

California vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 56.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • California has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • California has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • California has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+1.00 Units / 1% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+15.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)

California Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

California has a 4-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -13.57% ROI).

  • 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.78% ROI
  • 8-2 when betting the Over for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • 2-8 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has a 3-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

  • 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 9.39% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

California Offensive Stats & Trends:

California has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (123 assists/ 149 TOs) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

California averaged 34.8 points per game (452 points/13 games) in the second half last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 40.0

California has averaged 11.2 assists per game (123 assists/11 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 15.5

California averaged 5.5 assists per game (71 assists/13 games) in the second half last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has a 26% free throw rate (140 free throw attempts/548 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 36%

San Diego State shot 32% from three (251/795) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

San Diego State had a TS% of 46% last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

San Diego State has 15.6 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 21.1

California Defensive Stats & Trends:

California allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (59/155) in the first half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

California has allowed opponents to shoot 53% (125/234) this season — 3rd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 47%

California has allowed an average of 1.31 points per shot (839 points/641 shots) this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

California has forced 10.5 turnovers per game (137 turnovers/13 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% (194/541) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

San Diego State allowed opponents to shoot 41% (843/2,060) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

San Diego State has allowed 64.7 points per game (582 points/9 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.4

San Diego State forced 12.6 turnovers per game (453 turnovers/36 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.