- SMU is a -11.5 point favorite vs California
- Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
- California / SMU TV channel: ACCN
The California Golden Bears visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs on Jan. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.
SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).
The California vs. SMU Over/Under is 152.5 total points.
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California vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| California | +11.5 -115 | O 152.5 -110 | +500 |
| SMU | -11.5 -105 | U 152.5 -110 | -700 |
California vs SMU Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
California vs SMU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts California will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence for today’s game.
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California Basketball Best Bets Today:
- California has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- California has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- California have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- California has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games (+2.00 Units / 2% ROI)
SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+3.60 Units / 0% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.56 Units / 1% ROI)
California Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
California has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.25 Units / 5.98% ROI).
- 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 2.01% ROI
- 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI
- 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.95 Units / -4.32% ROI).
- 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 0.24% ROI
- 13-7 when betting the Over for +5.2 Units / 23.58% ROI
- 7-13 when betting the Under for -7.35 Units / -33.49% ROI
California Offensive Stats & Trends:
California has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (208 assists/ 234 TOs) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
California has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (208 assists/ 234 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3
California has averaged 10.4 assists per game (208 assists/20 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.9
California has averaged 10.4 assists per game (208 assists/20 games) this season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.9
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
SMU has 22.4 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 49th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.4
SMU has averaged 83.1 points per game (1,662 points/20 games) this season — 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.4
SMU has averaged 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (266 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.3
California Defensive Stats & Trends:
California allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (107/287) last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%
California allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (466 points/378 shots) in the first half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09
California forced 10.5 turnovers per game (137 turnovers/13 games) last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 12.7
California allowed 76.8 points per game (2,303 points/30 games) last season — tied for 39th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (538 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
SMU has averaged 7.6 steals per game (152 steals/20 games) this season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4
SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (405/1,005) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 46%
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