Davidson vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
  • Dayton is a -9.5 point favorite vs Davidson
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Davidson / Dayton TV channel: ESPN+

The Davidson Wildcats visit University of Dayton Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Dayton, OH, USA.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-102).

The Davidson vs. Dayton Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Davidson vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Davidson+9.5 -118O 142.5 -105+340
Dayton -9.5 -102U 142.5 -115-450

Davidson vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 79.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Davidson vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Davidson has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 games (+5.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Davidson has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Davidson has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Davidson has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Davidson have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+10.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.73 Units / 7% ROI)

Davidson Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Davidson has a 11-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.65 Units / 11.88% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.15 Units / 5.23% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.05 Units / -13.86% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 11-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -0.75% ROI
  • 14-7 when betting the Over for +6.3 Units / 27.21% ROI
  • 7-14 when betting the Under for -8.35 Units / -36.23% ROI

Davidson Offensive Stats & Trends:

Davidson has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (199 turnovers/21 games) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Davidson has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (328 assists/ 199 TOs) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Davidson shot 32% from three (225/708) last season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Davidson is shooting 36% from three (179/501) this season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (352 assists/ 225 TOs) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Dayton is shooting 39% from three (478/1,231) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (352 assists/ 225 TOs) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Davidson Defensive Stats & Trends:

Davidson has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (168/469) this season — highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Davidson has averaged 5.9 steals per game (123 steals/21 games) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Davidson has averaged 6.3 steals per game (322 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Davidson has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 12.4

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton averaged 5.6 steals per game (178 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Dayton has averaged 6.1 steals per game (332 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Dayton has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (182/524) this season — 2nd highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.