- Duke is a -7.5 point favorite vs SMU
- Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
- Duke / SMU TV channel: CW
The Duke Blue Devils visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:15pm EST in Dallas, TX.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).
The Duke vs. SMU Over/Under is 149.5 total points.
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Duke vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Duke | -7.5 -115 | O 149.5 -115 | -350 |
| SMU | +7.5 -105 | U 149.5 -105 | +275 |
Duke vs SMU Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Duke vs SMU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 69.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+14.25 Units / 1% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.85 Units / 9% ROI)
SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+6.90 Units / 1% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.13 Units / 15% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.00 Units / 5% ROI)
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 8-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI).
- 11-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 1.09% ROI
- 4-9 when betting the Over for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI
- 9-4 when betting the Under for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has a 7-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI).
- 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 0.19% ROI
- 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 31.36% ROI
- 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.95 Units / -41.75% ROI
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke shot 41% from three (153/372) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
Duke averaged 8.1 assists per game (283 assists/35 games) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Duke averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (342 turnovers/35 games) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Duke had an eFG% of 55% last season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
SMU has averaged 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (631 rebounds/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0
SMU has averaged 87.2 points per game (1,133 points/13 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 75.3
SMU has averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,133 points/786 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.33
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (767 points/741 shots) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Duke has allowed an average of 1.01 points per shot (370 points/367 shots) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.12
Duke has averaged 28.0 defensive rebounds per game (364 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.9
Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 36% (132/367) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 41%
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
SMU has 102 steals this season — 5th most among ACC Teams
SMU has averaged 8.1 steals per game (366 steals/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
SMU has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (357 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.9
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