Florida State vs Miami (FL) Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 8

FILE - Miami guard Nijel Pack drives past Florida International guard George Pridgett Jr. (31) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game, Nov. 13, 2023, in Coral Gables, Fla. (AP Photo/Jim Rassol, File)
(AP Photo/Jim Rassol)
  • Miami (FL) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Florida State
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Florida State / Miami (FL) TV channel: ACCN

The Florida State Seminoles visit Watsco Center to take on the Miami (FL) Hurricanes on Jan. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Coral Gables, FL.

Miami (FL) is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Florida State vs. Miami (FL) Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Florida State vs. Miami (FL) Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida State+1.5 -105O 154.5 -110+105
Miami (FL) -1.5 -115U 154.5 -110-130

Florida State vs Miami (FL) Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida State will win this college basketball game with 73.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Florida State vs Miami (FL) Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Miami (FL) will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Florida State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+6.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 31 games (+13.97 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.30 Units / 14% ROI)

Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida State has a 9-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI).

  • 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 5.48% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI

Miami (FL) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (FL) has a 3-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8 Units / -51.78% ROI).

  • 2-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -77.4 Units / -55.52% ROI
  • 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
  • 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (307/449) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Florida State has a 45% free throw rate (360 free throw attempts/807 field goal attempts) this season — 4th highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Florida State has made 6.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.9

Florida State has a 39% free throw rate (449 free throw attempts/1,145 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 29%

Miami (FL) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) is shooting 49% (200/408) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Miami (FL) has a 26% free throw rate (695 free throw attempts/2,712 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Miami (FL) had 15.1 free throw attempts per game last season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Miami (FL) averaged 25% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (468 free throw attempts/1,878 field goal attempts) last season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 9.3 steals per game (419 steals/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Miami (FL) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) allowed 9.5 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Miami (FL) has allowed 9.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.8

Miami (FL) allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (2,274 points/1,929 shots) last season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Miami (FL) averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (825 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 46th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.