Florida State vs Virginia Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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Virginia Tech coach Mike Young directs players during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Syracuse in Syracuse, N.Y., Wednesday, Jan. 11, 2023.
(AP Photo/Adrian Kraus)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 11:21 AM
  • Virginia Tech (17-13) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Florida State (9-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The Florida State Seminoles (9-21) visit Cassell Coliseum to take on the Virginia Tech Hokies (17-13) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Blacksburg.

Virginia Tech is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Florida State vs. Virginia Tech Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Florida State vs. Virginia Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida State+9.5 -110O 149.5 -105+375
Virginia Tech -9.5 -110U 149.5 -115-500

Florida State vs Virginia Tech Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Virginia Tech will win this game with 69.4% confidence.

Florida State vs Virginia Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia Tech will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida State and Virginia Tech, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+10.30 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 away games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+5.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)

Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida State has gone 12-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.85 Units / -23.75% ROI).

  • 9-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.55 Units / -38.03% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 11.52% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -20.3% ROI

Virginia Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia Tech has gone 12-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.3 Units / -20.76% ROI
  • 18-11 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 17.88% ROI
  • 11-18 when betting the Under for -8.8 Units / -26.67% ROI

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 1.23 points per shot (1,602 points/1,304 shots) this season — tied for 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Florida State is shooting 44% (574/1,304) this season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Florida State has a TS% of 46% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 44th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Florida State has an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia Tech has an eFG% of 55% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 51%

Virginia Tech is shooting 38% from three (494/1,308) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Virginia Tech has 13.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.1

Virginia Tech has a TS% of 51% since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 47%

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 7.4 steals per game (170 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Florida State has averaged 7.4 steals per game (228 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Florida State has averaged 7.4 steals per game (398 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Florida State has 398 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th most among ACC Teams

Virginia Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.0 steals per game (169 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.3 steals per game (310 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.4 steals per game (118 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.3 steals per game (310 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.