Fresno State vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

Air Force head coach Joe Scott reacts in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against New Mexico in Albuquerque, N.M., Friday, Jan. 27, 2023.
(AP Photo/Eric Draper)
  • Air Force is a -2.5 point favorite vs Fresno State
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Fresno State / Air Force TV channel: ESPN+

The Fresno State Bulldogs visit Clune Arena to take on the Air Force Falcons on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Colorado Springs, CO, USA.

Air Force is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Fresno State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Fresno State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State+2.5 -110O 142.5 -110+110
Air Force -2.5 -110U 142.5 -110-135

Fresno State vs Air Force Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this college basketball game with 66.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fresno State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 18 away games (+0.85 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 34 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.93 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 2.69% ROI).

  • 5-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.65 Units / -42.15% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 20.2% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.7 Units / -29.29% ROI

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 8-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.75 Units / -39.02% ROI).

  • 2-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.6 Units / -84.33% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has an eFG% of 46% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

Fresno State is shooting 41% (667/1,643) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 45%

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (307 assists/ 361 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Fresno State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (389 assists/ 398 TOs) last season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (202 rebounds/26 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 10.2

Air Force has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (340 assists/ 343 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Air Force averaged 65.6 points per game (1,903 points/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Air Force made 8.7 three-pointers per game last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed 81.8 points per game (2,208 points/27 games) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.5

Fresno State has allowed 8.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Fresno State has allowed 81.8 points per game (2,208 points/27 games) this season — 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.1

Fresno State has allowed 9.4 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (3,966 points/2,937 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Air Force averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (614 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.0

Air Force allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (2,082 points/1,520 shots) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Air Force has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (188/507) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.