Fresno State vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

(AP Photo)
  • Nevada is a -14.5 point favorite vs Fresno State
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Fresno State / Nevada TV channel: FS1

The Fresno State Bulldogs visit Lawlor Events Center to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Reno, NV, USA.

Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Fresno State vs. Nevada Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Fresno State vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State+14.5 -110O 142.5 -115+750
Nevada -14.5 -110U 142.5 -105-1200

Fresno State vs Nevada Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Nevada will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fresno State vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 34 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 21 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 13-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 7.58% ROI).

  • 5-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.65 Units / -37.4% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting the Over for +5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting the Under for -7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 11-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -8.71% ROI).

  • 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -4.7% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -17.32% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 7.94% ROI

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has an eFG% of 46% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

Fresno State is shooting 31% from three (164/524) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Fresno State is shooting 41% (604/1,480) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 45%

Fresno State has averaged 1.18 points per shot (1,751 points/1,480 shots) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,582 points/1,860 shots) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Nevada averaged 44% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (824 free throw attempts/1,860 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Nevada averaged 44% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (824 free throw attempts/1,860 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Nevada averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,582 points/1,860 shots) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed 82.5 points per game (1,979 points/24 games) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.4

Fresno State has allowed 9.5 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Fresno State has allowed 8.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Fresno State has allowed 77.7 points per game (4,275 points/55 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.2

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has allowed 67.6 points per game (1,554 points/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.4

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (193/545) this season — 2nd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Nevada allowed 7.4 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Nevada allowed 67.0 points per game (2,278 points/34 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.