- UNLV is a -16.5 point favorite vs Fresno State
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Fresno State / UNLV TV channel: ESPN+
The Fresno State Bulldogs visit Thomas & Mack Center to take on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels on Dec. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Las Vegas, NV.
UNLV is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).
The Fresno State vs. UNLV Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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Fresno State vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Fresno State | +16.5 -110 | O 145.5 -110 | +950 |
UNLV | -16.5 -110 | U 145.5 -110 | -2000 |
Fresno State vs UNLV Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Fresno State vs UNLV Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Fresno State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 18 away games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
UNLV Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+10.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Fresno State has a 6-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -15.47% ROI
- 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
- 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UNLV has a 5-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 5.19% ROI
- 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
- 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Fresno State is shooting 40% (304/770) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 46%
Fresno State has a TS% of 42% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%
Fresno State has an eFG% of 45% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%
Fresno State has averaged 1.12 points per shot (863 points/770 shots) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.30
UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:
UNLV has made 7.3 three-pointers per game this season — 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.5
UNLV has averaged 71.5 points per game (786 points/11 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 76.3
UNLV shot 34% from three (216/645) last season — 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%
UNLV averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (341 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.2
Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Fresno State forced 10.7 turnovers per game (331 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Fresno State has allowed 8.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Fresno State has allowed 79.6 points per game (955 points/12 games) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.0
Fresno State allowed 8.1 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.1
UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:
UNLV allowed 7.1 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.1
UNLV allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (2,139 points/1,782 shots) last season — tied for 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23
UNLV forced 12.6 turnovers per game (391 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9
UNLV allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (221/691) last season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%
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