Illinois vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 6

Northwestern head coach Chris Collins coaches against Rutgers during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game, Sunday, March 5, 2023 in Piscataway, N.J. Northwestern won 65-53. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
  • Illinois is a -3.5 point favorite vs Northwestern
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Illinois / Northwestern TV channel: BTN

The Illinois Fighting Illini visit Welsh-Ryan Arena to take on the Northwestern Wildcats on Dec. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Evanston, IL.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Illinois vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Illinois vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois-3.5 -115O 143.5 -105-190
Northwestern +3.5 -105U 143.5 -115+155

Illinois vs Northwestern Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 79.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northwestern will cover the spread with 53.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+20.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.46 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+8.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+12.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games at home (+9.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+0.75 Units / 4% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 4-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 7.69% ROI).

  • 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 0.97% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 2-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI).

  • 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.38% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois averaged 82.8 points per game (3,063 points/37 games) last season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Illinois had an eFG% of 53% last season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Illinois had an eFG% of 53% last season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Illinois averaged 82.8 points per game (3,063 points/37 games) last season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern averaged 9.1 turnovers per game (290 turnovers/32 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Northwestern shot 39% from three (260/671) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Northwestern had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (498 assists/ 290 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Northwestern had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (498 assists/ 290 TOs) last season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,056 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Illinois averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,056 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Illinois forced 8.4 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/27 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Illinois forced 8.4 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/27 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (736 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Northwestern averaged 7.2 steals per game (229 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Northwestern stole the ball 229 times last season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams

Northwestern allowed 35.1 points per game (1,123 points/32 games) in the second half last season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 36.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.