Iowa State vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 12

BetMGM Betting Dec 12, 2024, 9:35 AM

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Iowa head coach Fran McCaffery, center, reacts after being called for a technical foul during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Indiana, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa.

(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)

Iowa State is a -6.5 point favorite vs Iowa
Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
Iowa State / Iowa TV channel: FS1

The Iowa State Cyclones visit Carver-Hawkeye Arena to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes on Dec. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Iowa City, IA.

Iowa State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Iowa State vs. Iowa Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Iowa State vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Iowa State	-6.5 -105	O 159.5 -105	-275
Iowa	+6.5 -115	U 159.5 -115	+220

Iowa State vs Iowa Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this college basketball game with 79.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Iowa State vs Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.

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Iowa State Basketball Best Bets Today:

Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+19.40 Units / 4% ROI)
Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games (+13.75 Units / 1% ROI)
Iowa State have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Iowa State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)

Iowa Basketball Best Bets Today:

Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.30 Units / 3% ROI)
Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+4.50 Units / 1% ROI)
Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Iowa has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+0.50 Units / 2% ROI)

Iowa State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa State has a 5-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 1.36% ROI
4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.57% ROI
4-4 when betting the Under for -0.45 Units / -5.08% ROI

Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa has a 4-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / -4.06% ROI).

7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 2.17% ROI
5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa St. shot 53% off the dribble (107/203) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Iowa St. averaged 28.7 points per game (516 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Iowa St. shot 27% from three (26/98) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Iowa St. shot 31% from three (101/328) in the first half last season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (593 assists/ 315 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Iowa had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (593 assists/ 315 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Iowa averaged 18.0 assists per game (593 assists/33 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Iowa averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (315 turnovers/33 games) last season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa State forced 17.2 turnovers per game (636 turnovers/37 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Iowa State forced 16.2 turnovers per game (422 turnovers/26 games) last season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 70% off the dribble (56/80) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 57%

Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 21% from three off the dribble (8/38) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 29%

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa stole the ball 226 times last season — 5th most among Big 10 Teams

Iowa averaged 6.8 steals per game (226 steals/33 games) last season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Iowa allowed 79.5 points per game (2,622 points/33 games) last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Iowa allowed opponents to shoot 46% (942/2,052) last season — tied for 21st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%