- Iowa State is a -8.5 point favorite vs UCF
- Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
- Iowa State / UCF TV channel: ESPN+
The Iowa State Cyclones visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Orlando, FL, USA.
Iowa State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Iowa State vs. UCF Over/Under is 158.5 total points.
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Iowa State vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Iowa State | -8.5 -105 | O 158.5 -115 | -375 |
| UCF | +8.5 -115 | U 158.5 -105 | +290 |
Iowa State vs UCF Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Iowa State vs UCF Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence for today’s game.
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Iowa State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Iowa State have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 37 games (+7.90 Units / 1% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
UCF Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+9.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+6.75 Units / 4% ROI)
Iowa State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Iowa State has a 14-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.15 Units / 16.47% ROI).
- 18-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.05% ROI
- 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -17.03% ROI
- 13-10 when betting the Under for +1.95 Units / 7.69% ROI
UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UCF has a 11-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -9.41% ROI).
- 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.45 Units / 6.35% ROI
- 15-8 when betting the Over for +6.2 Units / 24.51% ROI
- 8-15 when betting the Under for -8.5 Units / -33.6% ROI
Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Iowa St. averaged 28.7 points per game (516 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2
Iowa St. shot 27% from three (26/98) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Iowa St. shot 53% off the dribble (107/203) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Iowa St. averaged 0.92 points per shot (108 points/118 shots) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.73
UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:
UCF had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (356 assists/ 392 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
UCF averaged 11.1 assists per game (356 assists/32 games) last season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 15.1
UCF has a TS% of 45% since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%
UCF had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Iowa State forced 17.2 turnovers per game (636 turnovers/37 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Iowa State averaged 10.3 steals per game (382 steals/37 games) last season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Iowa State has forced 16.6 turnovers per game (997 turnovers/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 70% off the dribble (56/80) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 57%
UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:
UCF averaged 8.6 steals per game (275 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
UCF has allowed 85.3 points per game (1,280 points/15 games) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.6
UCF averaged 8.6 steals per game (275 steals/32 games) last season — 4th best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.2
UCF averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (800 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 25.7
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