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Kansas State vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 22

BetMGM Betting Jan 22, 2025, 2:39 PM

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(AP Photo)

Baylor is a -12.5 point favorite vs Kansas State
Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
Kansas State / Baylor TV channel: ESPNU

The Kansas State Wildcats visit Foster Pavilion to take on the Baylor Bears on Jan. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Waco, TX, USA.

Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Kansas State vs. Baylor Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Kansas State vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Kansas State	+12.5 -115	O 141.5 -110	+625
Baylor	-12.5 -105	U 141.5 -110	-1000

Kansas State vs Baylor Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kansas State vs Baylor Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.

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Kansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:

Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Best Bets Today:

Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.35 Units / 46% ROI)
Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+6.35 Units / 1% ROI)
Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.77 Units / 13% ROI)
Baylor have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has a 7-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI).

6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -3.46% ROI
8-9 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -10.73% ROI).

11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -0.23% ROI
10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 109 three-pointers in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas State averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (489 turnovers/33 games) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Kansas State averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (489 turnovers/33 games) last season — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.28

Baylor shot 42% from three (145/346) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Baylor shot 51% (466/912) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas St. allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (43/102) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Kansas St. allowed opponents to shoot 26% on catch and shoot opportunities (8/31) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (25/93) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%