Kentucky vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 15

Texas head coach Rodney Terry calls to his players during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against UConn in Austin, Texas, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
(AP Photo/Eric Gay)
  • Texas is a -3.5 point favorite vs Kentucky
  • Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
  • Kentucky / Texas TV channel: ESPN

The Kentucky Wildcats visit Moody Center to take on the Texas Longhorns on Feb. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Austin, TX, USA.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Kentucky vs. Texas Over/Under is 158.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky+3.5 -115O 158.5 -105+135
Texas -3.5 -105U 158.5 -115-165

Kentucky vs Texas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 77.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kentucky vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 66.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+7.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.57 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+10.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+4.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 35 games (+3.07 Units / 8% ROI)

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.35 Units / -5.1% ROI).

  • 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 1.18% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.95 Units / 7.09% ROI).

  • 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 0.24% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 7.27% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.3 Units / -15.64% ROI

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Texas averaged 1.4 turnovers per game (26 turnovers/18 games) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.2

Texas averaged 1.28 points per shot (429 points/335 shots) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 29.3 defensive rebounds per game (703 rebounds/24 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.4

Kentucky has forced 7.9 turnovers per game (118 turnovers/15 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.4

Kentucky allowed 79.6 points per game (2,389 points/30 games) last season — tied for 12th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Kentucky has allowed 36.8 points per game (883 points/24 games) in the first half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32.5

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed 3.7 made three-pointers per game in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.6

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 29% on catch and shoot opportunities (5/17) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%


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