LSU vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 14

SMU guard Boopie Miller dribbles against Alabama State guard Shawn Fulcher during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game, Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024, in Dallas. (AP Photo/LM Otero)
(AP Photo/LM Otero)
  • SMU is a -4.5 point favorite vs LSU
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • LSU / SMU TV channel: ESPNU

The LSU Tigers visit Comerica Center to take on the SMU Mustangs on Dec. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Frisco, TX.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The LSU vs. SMU Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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LSU vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
LSU+4.5 -115O 154.5 -115+155
SMU -4.5 -105U 154.5 -105-190

LSU vs SMU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts LSU will win this college basketball game with 54.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

LSU vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+14.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+5.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+10.70 Units / 1% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.80 Units / 2% ROI)

LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

LSU has a 5-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 5.08% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 5-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -0.07% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.79% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.75 Units / -42.99% ROI

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:

LSU had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (371 assists/ 410 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

LSU averaged 13.2 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

LSU had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (179 assists/ 184 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

LSU had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (371 assists/ 410 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

SMU averaged 15.2 assists per game (488 assists/32 games) last season — tied for 47th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

SMU had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (488 assists/ 358 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

SMU averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,409 points/1,995 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:

LSU averaged 8.0 steals per game (249 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

LSU forced 13.0 turnovers per game (402 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 11.8

LSU stole the ball 249 times last season — 3rd most among SEC Teams

LSU allowed opponents to shoot 42% (783/1,853) last season — tied for 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 43%

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

SMU allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,171 points/1,857 shots) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

SMU allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (212/679) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

SMU allowed opponents to shoot 41% (762/1,857) last season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.