Miami (FL) vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 26, 2023, 9:54 AM
  • Texas (29-8) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Miami (FL) (28-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (28-7) visit T-Mobile Center to take on the Texas Longhorns (29-8) on Mar. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 5:05pm EDT in Kansas City.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Miami (FL) vs. Texas Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Miami (FL) vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami (FL)+3.5 -105O 149.5 -110+155
Texas -3.5 -115U 149.5 -110-185

Miami (FL) vs Texas Prediction for March Madness:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this March Madness game with 59.1% confidence.

Miami (FL) vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (FL) and Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Miami has hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 45 games (+19.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Miami have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 24 away games (+15.60 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 games (+15.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+13.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Miami have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.45 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games at home (+13.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.90 Units / 66% ROI)

Miami (FL) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (FL) has gone 21-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.65 Units / 14.71% ROI).

  • 24-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 10.25% ROI
  • 16-18 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -9.87% ROI
  • 18-16 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 1.04% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has gone 19-17 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 22-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.85 Units / 10.92% ROI
  • 17-18 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -6.88% ROI
  • 18-17 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -1.72% ROI

Miami (FL) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (330 assists/ 253 TOs) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Miami (FL) has an eFG% of 54% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Miami (FL) has averaged 1.32 points per shot (1,723 points/1,301 shots) this season — 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Miami (FL) has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (606 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas has a TS% of 51% in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas averaged 1.28 points per shot (429 points/335 shots) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Miami (FL) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) has 494 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams

Miami (FL) has averaged 8.5 steals per game (220 steals/26 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Miami (FL) has averaged 8.4 steals per game (494 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Miami (FL) has forced 12.7 turnovers per game (280 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (53/147) in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.