Michigan vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 24

BetMGM Betting Jan 24, 2025, 9:36 AM

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In this photo taken on Tuesday, Feb. 16, 2021, Purdue plays against Michigan State at Mackey Arena during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in West Lafayette, Ind. Mackey Arena is one of six venues hosting NCAA Tournament games later this week.

(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)

Purdue is a -4.5 point favorite vs Michigan
Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
Michigan / Purdue TV channel: FOX

The Michigan Wolverines visit Mackey Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers on Jan. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in West Lafayette, IN, USA.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Michigan vs. Purdue Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Michigan	+4.5 -115	O 151.5 -115	+154
Purdue	-4.5 -105	U 151.5 -105	-190

Michigan vs Purdue Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 53.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan vs Purdue Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 65.1% confidence for today’s game.

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Michigan Basketball Best Bets Today:

Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.60 Units / 2% ROI)
Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)
Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.40 Units / 8% ROI)

Purdue Basketball Best Bets Today:

Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+15.30 Units / 6% ROI)
Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+6.86 Units / 3% ROI)
Purdue has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.10 Units / 9% ROI)
Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 38 games (+3.95 Units / 9% ROI)
Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+1.80 Units / 4% ROI)

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 5.53% ROI).

13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 0.85% ROI
11-7 when betting the Over for +3.25 Units / 16.29% ROI
7-11 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -25.45% ROI

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 11-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI).

15-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 3.86% ROI
11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 4.98% ROI
9-11 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -13.7% ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has an eFG% of 59% this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 53%

Michigan has averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (644 turnovers/47 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.2

Michigan had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (358 assists/ 381 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan has averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (263 turnovers/18 games) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.5

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Purdue is shooting 43% from three (317/738) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue is shooting 40% from three (464/1,162) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan averaged 4.0 steals per game (117 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Michigan has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (210/541) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Michigan has averaged 4.8 steals per game (227 steals/47 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan has averaged 4.8 steals per game (227 steals/47 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,054 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Purdue forced 8.7 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/28 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3