Michigan State vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 30

(AP Photo)
  • Auburn is a -4.5 point favorite vs Michigan State
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Michigan State / Auburn TV channel: CBS

The Michigan State Spartans visit State Farm Arena to take on the Auburn Tigers on Mar. 30. Tip off is scheduled for 5:05pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

Auburn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Michigan State vs. Auburn Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan State+4.5 -105O 147.5 -110+180
Auburn -4.5 -115U 147.5 -110-220

Michigan State vs Auburn Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan State vs Auburn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 36 games (+19.80 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 29 games (+16.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 36 games (+18.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 34 games (+6.60 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.55 Units / 25% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 26-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+15 Units / 37.93% ROI).

  • 30-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.8 Units / 2.44% ROI
  • 11-25 when betting the Over for -16.6 Units / -41.81% ROI
  • 25-11 when betting the Under for +12.9 Units / 32.66% ROI

Auburn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Auburn has a 19-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / 3.27% ROI).

  • 31-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.65 Units / 1.28% ROI
  • 21-15 when betting the Over for +4.45 Units / 11.24% ROI
  • 15-21 when betting the Under for -8.15 Units / -20.58% ROI

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0

Michigan State has a 38% free throw rate (811 free throw attempts/2,128 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (600 assists/ 411 TOs) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn averaged 17.9 assists per game (592 assists/33 games) last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Auburn had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (592 assists/ 354 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Auburn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (586 assists/ 339 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Auburn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (408 assists/ 255 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (239/855) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (239/855) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (169/614) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (499/1,644) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (889 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Auburn allowed opponents to shoot 38% (735/1,916) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Auburn has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (216/730) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Auburn allowed opponents to shoot 38% (530/1,406) last season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%


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