- Illinois is a -6.5 point favorite vs Michigan State
- Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
- Michigan State / Illinois TV channel: FOX
The Michigan State Spartans visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini on Feb. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Champaign, IL, USA.
Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Michigan State vs. Illinois Over/Under is 158.5 total points.
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Michigan State vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Michigan State | +6.5 -110 | O 158.5 -110 | +225 |
| Illinois | -6.5 -110 | U 158.5 -110 | -275 |
Michigan State vs Illinois Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 76.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Michigan State vs Illinois Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.23 Units / 11% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.30 Units / 1% ROI)
Illinois Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 38 games (+15.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 39 games (+4.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+3.53 Units / 13% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+1.70 Units / 7% ROI)
Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan State has a 16-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.2 Units / 27.38% ROI).
- 19-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 1.02% ROI
- 9-15 when betting the Over for -7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- 15-9 when betting the Under for +5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI
Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Illinois has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.8 Units / -17.2% ROI).
- 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -2.69% ROI
- 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 10.91% ROI
- 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.4 Units / -19.64% ROI
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State is shooting 81% from the free throw line (453/559) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 74%
Michigan State is shooting 29% from three (134/466) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State has made 5.6 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0
Michigan State is shooting 81% from the free throw line (453/559) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has 783 defensive rebounds this season — most among Big 10 Teams
Illinois has attempted 754 threes this season — most among Big 10 Teams
Illinois has 783 defensive rebounds this season — most among Big 10 Teams
Illinois has averaged 82.3 points per game (1,975 points/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72.3
Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (166/566) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Michigan State allowed opponents to shoot 41% (778/1,881) last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Michigan State allowed opponents to shoot 39% (374/955) in the first half last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (566/1,417) this season — tied for best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has averaged 31.3 defensive rebounds per game (783 rebounds/25 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Illinois has averaged 31.3 defensive rebounds per game (783 rebounds/25 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Illinois has averaged 31.3 defensive rebounds per game (783 rebounds/25 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.4
Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,839 rebounds/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
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