- Michigan is a -2.5 point favorite vs Michigan State
- Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
- Michigan State / Michigan TV channel: FOX
The Michigan State Spartans visit Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Michigan State vs. Michigan Over/Under is 152.5 total points.
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Michigan State vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Michigan State | +2.5 -105 | O 152.5 -115 | +125 |
| Michigan | -2.5 -115 | U 152.5 -105 | -155 |
Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Michigan State vs Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 65.4% confidence for today’s game.
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Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+4.70 Units / 1% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.18 Units / 6% ROI)
Michigan Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+10.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan State has a 18-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+9.2 Units / 32.28% ROI).
- 21-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units / 1.45% ROI
- 9-17 when betting the Over for -9.7 Units / -33.92% ROI
- 17-9 when betting the Under for +7.1 Units / 24.83% ROI
Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.55 Units / -16.46% ROI).
- 19-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 2.88% ROI
- 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.85 Units / 6.69% ROI
- 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.3 Units / -15.72% ROI
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (459 assists/ 307 TOs) this season — tied for best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4
Michigan State is shooting 29% from three (143/491) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State has made 5.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0
Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,008 assists/ 647 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (192 assists/ 167 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.5
Michigan has averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (742 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.1
Michigan has averaged 14.4 turnovers per game (361 turnovers/25 games) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4
Michigan has averaged 7.5 turnovers per game (407 turnovers/54 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9
Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (121/419) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (182/623) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (614/1,527) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Michigan State has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (818 points/780 shots) in the first half this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.14
Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan averaged 4.0 steals per game (117 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3
Michigan has averaged 4.9 steals per game (263 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8
Michigan has averaged 4.9 steals per game (263 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Michigan has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (638/1,560) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
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