- UCLA is a -3.5 point favorite vs Michigan State
- Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
- Michigan State / UCLA TV channel: PEAC
The Michigan State Spartans visit Pauley Pavilion to take on the UCLA Bruins on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles, CA, USA.
UCLA is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-102).
The Michigan State vs. UCLA Over/Under is 138.5 total points.
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Michigan State vs. UCLA Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Michigan State | +3.5 -118 | O 138.5 -105 | +135 |
| UCLA | -3.5 -102 | U 138.5 -115 | -165 |
Michigan State vs UCLA Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 66.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Michigan State vs UCLA Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 65.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+5.20 Units / 2% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+4.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.75 Units / 10% ROI)
UCLA Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UCLA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.10 Units / 1% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+8.10 Units / 1% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- UCLA have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- UCLA have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+3.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan State has a 14-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.3 Units / 27.39% ROI).
- 18-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.5 Units / 1.91% ROI
- 8-13 when betting the Over for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI
- 13-8 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI
UCLA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UCLA has a 13-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.3 Units / 17.92% ROI).
- 17-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units / 1.88% ROI
- 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.15 Units / -12.99% ROI
- 12-10 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 4.55% ROI
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State is shooting 29% from three (117/403) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%
Michigan State is shooting 80% from the free throw line (392/488) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%
Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (934 assists/ 593 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (385 assists/ 253 TOs) this season — tied for best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4
UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends:
UCLA shot 42% (309/733) last season — 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 46%
UCLA averaged 67.2 points per game (873 points/13 games) last season — tied for lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 77.4
UCLA has averaged 1.31 points per shot (476 points/363 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.39
UCLA has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (86 assists/ 88 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.3
Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (232/630) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 42%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (146/498) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Michigan State allowed opponents to shoot 39% (374/955) in the first half last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Michigan State allowed opponents to shoot 41% (778/1,881) last season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 44%
UCLA Defensive Stats & Trends:
UCLA has forced 16.2 turnovers per game (356 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1
UCLA has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (489 rebounds/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.5
UCLA allowed 62.2 points per game (808 points/13 games) last season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 70.3
UCLA has allowed 34.7 points per game (764 points/22 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 37.1
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