Middle Tennessee vs North Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 11:47 AM
  • North Texas (23-6) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Middle Tennessee (18-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 121.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (18-11) visit UNT Coliseum to take on the North Texas Mean Green (23-6) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Denton.

North Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Middle Tennessee vs. North Texas Over/Under is 121.5 total points.

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Middle Tennessee vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Middle Tennessee+7.5 -110O 121.5 -105+270
North Texas -7.5 -110U 121.5 -115-350

Middle Tennessee vs North Texas Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 68.0% confidence.

Middle Tennessee vs North Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Middle Tennessee and North Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 50 games (+20.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+10.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)

Middle Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Middle Tennessee has gone 13-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.25 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -3.89% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Over for +5.95 Units / 20% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.7 Units / -29.34% ROI

North Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Texas has gone 13-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 21-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 4.83% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -4.38% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -4.38% ROI

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (259 assists/ 312 TOs) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Middle Tennessee has averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (312 turnovers/23 games) this season — 40th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Middle Tennessee is shooting 47% (604/1,300) this season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 45%

Middle Tennessee has averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (312 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 12.7

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has averaged 63.7 points per game (3,504 points/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 72.4

North Texas has averaged 61.8 points per game (1,421 points/23 games) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

North Texas has averaged 10.8 assists per game (594 assists/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 13.1

North Texas has averaged 61.8 points per game (1,421 points/23 games) this season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 72.1

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (504 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Middle Tennessee has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,400 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Middle Tennessee has averaged 8.0 steals per game (477 steals/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Middle Tennessee has averaged 7.9 steals per game (182 steals/23 games) this season — 5th best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 7.1

North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,216 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 24.4

North Texas has averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (477 rebounds/23 games) this season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 24.1

North Texas has averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (477 rebounds/23 games) this season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

North Texas has averaged 6.7 steals per game (153 steals/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 7.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.