Middle Tennessee vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 22

South Florida guard Selton Miguel, left, drives around Auburn guard Zep Jasper during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Friday, Nov. 11, 2022, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
  • South Florida is a -1.5 point favorite vs Middle Tennessee
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Middle Tennessee / South Florida TV channel: ESPN2

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders visit HTC Center to take on the South Florida Bulls on Nov. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Conway, SC.

South Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Middle Tennessee vs. South Florida Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Middle Tennessee vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Middle Tennessee+1.5 -105O 146.5 -115+105
South Florida -1.5 -115U 146.5 -105-130

Middle Tennessee vs South Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Middle Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 76.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Middle Tennessee vs South Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games (+20.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.05 Units / 3% ROI)

Middle Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Middle Tennessee has a 3-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 25.28% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has a 1-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.49% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (305 assists/ 417 TOs) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Middle Tennessee averaged 65.0 points per game (2,014 points/31 games) last season — 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Middle Tennessee averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (417 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Middle Tennessee averaged 9.8 assists per game (305 assists/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (463 assists/ 344 TOs) last season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

South Florida shot 44% (801/1,832) last season — 5th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 44%

South Florida shot 36% from three (276/769) last season — 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

South Florida averaged 38% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (695 free throw attempts/1,832 field goal attempts) last season — 3rd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee averaged 5.3 steals per game (164 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Middle Tennessee allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Middle Tennessee allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (2,186 points/1,827 shots) last season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida forced 13.0 turnovers per game (416 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 11.9

South Florida allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (220/698) last season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

South Florida allowed opponents to shoot 42% (773/1,837) last season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

South Florida allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (220/698) last season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.