- Alabama (26-5) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State (21-11)
- Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-11) visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (26-5) on Mar. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Nashville.
Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Mississippi State vs. Alabama Over/Under is 137.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mississippi State | +7.5 -110 | O 137.5 -110 | +270 |
| Alabama | -7.5 -110 | U 137.5 -110 | -350 |
Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 68.0% confidence.
Mississippi State vs Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi State and Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 44 games (+17.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Alabama Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 38 games (+6.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has gone 16-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.96% ROI
- 13-19 when betting the Over for -7.9 Units / -22.44% ROI
- 19-13 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 13.35% ROI
Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Alabama has gone 17-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI).
- 22-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.4 Units / 13.37% ROI
- 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -4.4% ROI
- 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -4.4% ROI
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%
Mississippi State is shooting 24% from three (53/223) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%
Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%
Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:
Alabama has made 111 three-pointers in the second half this season — most among SEC Teams
Alabama has made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2
Alabama has averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (498 turnovers/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.7
Alabama has averaged 79.0 points per game (1,659 points/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 68.7
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (474 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Mississippi State has 205 steals this season — 2nd most among SEC Teams
Mississippi State has 474 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among Power Conference teams
Mississippi State has averaged 9.3 steals per game (205 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:
Alabama has averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (702 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,572 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,572 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
Alabama has averaged 6.2 steals per game (136 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5
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