Mississippi State vs Memphis Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 21

Memphis head coach Penny Hardaway yells to his players in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Vanderbilt Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. (
(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
  • Memphis is a -1.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Mississippi State / Memphis TV channel: CBS

The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Tigers on Dec. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 12:30pm EST in Memphis, TN.

Memphis is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Mississippi State vs. Memphis Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State+1.5 -120O 150.5 -110-110
Memphis -1.5 +100U 150.5 -110-110

Mississippi State vs Memphis Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 78.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Memphis Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 55.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+5.65 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+2.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.80 Units / 2% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 4.96% ROI).

  • 10-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 2.61% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.15% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.65 Units / -13.58% ROI

Memphis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Memphis has a 7-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.65 Units / 21.99% ROI).

  • 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 7.76% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (193 assists/ 98 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Mississippi State has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (193 assists/ 98 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.4

Mississippi State has averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (98 turnovers/11 games) this season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

Mississippi State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (437/641) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis is shooting 42% from three (90/215) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Memphis has averaged 1.41 points per shot (875 points/622 shots) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Memphis averaged 37% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (668 free throw attempts/1,825 field goal attempts) last season — 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Memphis had 22.3 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State stole the ball 256 times last season — 2nd most among SEC Teams

Mississippi State has 365 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th most among Power Conference teams

Mississippi State averaged 8.0 steals per game (256 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Mississippi State has averaged 9.9 steals per game (109 steals/11 games) this season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.3

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis averaged 8.4 steals per game (253 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Memphis allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (75/249) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Memphis has averaged 6.9 steals per game (76 steals/11 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Memphis averaged 8.4 steals per game (253 steals/30 games) last season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.