Mississippi State vs South Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 25

(AP Photo)
  • Mississippi State is a -6.5 point favorite vs South Carolina
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Mississippi State / South Carolina TV channel: SECN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit Colonial Life Arena to take on the South Carolina Gamecocks on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Columbia, SC, USA.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-118).

The Mississippi State vs. South Carolina Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. South Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State-6.5 -118O 138.5 -110-300
South Carolina +6.5 -102U 138.5 -110+240

Mississippi State vs South Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs South Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 60.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.05 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • South Carolina have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 9-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -9.09% ROI).

  • 15-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 0.93% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.05 Units / 0.24% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2.05 Units / -9.81% ROI

South Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Carolina has a 9-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2 Units / -9.57% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -6.89% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Over for -6.3 Units / -30% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Under for +4.3 Units / 20.67% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (300 assists/ 192 TOs) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Mississippi State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (737/1,077) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Mississippi State has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (192 turnovers/19 games) this season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Mississippi State shot 68% from the free throw line (472/697) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%

South Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Carolina has averaged 71.5 points per game (1,358 points/19 games) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 80.8

South Carolina has averaged 38.3 points per game (728 points/19 games) in the second half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42.3

South Carolina averaged 36.9 points per game (1,217 points/33 games) in the second half last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 40.4

South Carolina is shooting 69% from the free throw line (306/447) this season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State averaged 8.0 steals per game (256 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Mississippi State has averaged 9.6 steals per game (182 steals/19 games) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Mississippi State has averaged 8.6 steals per game (438 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Mississippi State has 438 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among SEC Teams

South Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Carolina has averaged 4.9 steals per game (259 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

South Carolina forced 9.6 turnovers per game (328 turnovers/34 games) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 11.8

South Carolina averaged 4.7 steals per game (160 steals/34 games) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

South Carolina has forced 9.9 turnovers per game (526 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.