Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

Arkansas head coach John Calipari reacts during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois, Thursday, Nov. 28, 2024, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • Missouri is a -1.5 point favorite vs Arkansas
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Missouri / Arkansas TV channel: ESPN

The Missouri Tigers visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Fayetteville, AR, AR, USA.

Missouri is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Missouri vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Missouri vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri-1.5 -115O 149.5 -115-130
Arkansas +1.5 -105U 149.5 -105+105

Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Missouri will win this college basketball game with 79.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+13.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.75 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.24 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 16-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.05 Units / 17.75% ROI).

  • 20-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.65 Units / 1.86% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.43% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.35 Units / -11.78% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / -11.25% ROI).

  • 16-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 1.45% ROI
  • 9-17 when betting the Over for -9.75 Units / -34.09% ROI
  • 17-9 when betting the Under for +7.05 Units / 24.65% ROI

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has 28.0 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.7

Missouri has averaged 1.48 points per shot (2,175 points/1,467 shots) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.30

Missouri has a 50% free throw rate (727 free throw attempts/1,467 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Missouri has averaged 1.43 points per shot (1,085 points/760 shots) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (674 rebounds/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Missouri allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,831 points/1,294 shots) last season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Missouri has averaged 10.0 steals per game (261 steals/26 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.0

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (3,014 points/2,200 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.29

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (877 points/766 shots) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Arkansas averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (74/282) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas allowed 80.5 points per game (2,495 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.