- Murray State is a -1.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
- Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
- Murray State / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+
The Murray State Racers visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Feb. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN, USA.
Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Murray State vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 143.5 total points.
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Murray State vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Murray State | -1.5 -110 | O 143.5 -105 | -125 |
| Valparaiso | +1.5 -110 | U 143.5 -115 | +105 |
Murray State vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 79.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Murray State vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Murray State will cover the spread with 61.4% confidence for today’s game.
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Murray State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Murray State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 away games (+10.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.42 Units / 46% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Murray State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Murray State has a 8-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.5 Units / -29.53% ROI).
- 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -5.34% ROI
- 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.25% ROI
- 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -20.95% ROI
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1 Units / -4.12% ROI).
- 8-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -20.6% ROI
- 14-8 when betting the Over for +5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI
- 8-14 when betting the Under for -7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI
Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has attempted 551 free throws this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Murray State averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,232 points/1,841 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Murray State has a 42% free throw rate (551 free throw attempts/1,308 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%
Murray State has made 26 two point field goals this season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso had 14.6 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Valparaiso shot 41% (774/1,899) last season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Valparaiso had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6
Murray State has averaged 6.9 steals per game (165 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Murray State has 165 steals this season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams
Murray State allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 5.9 steals per game (141 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (1,499/3,179) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (639/1,381) this season — 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (4,130 points/3,179 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
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