- Duke is a -14.5 point favorite vs North Carolina
- Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
- North Carolina / Duke TV channel: ESPN
The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Durham, NC, USA.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).
The North Carolina vs. Duke Over/Under is 148.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina | +14.5 -110 | O 148.5 -110 | +725 |
| Duke | -14.5 -110 | U 148.5 -110 | -1200 |
North Carolina vs Duke Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina vs Duke Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+4.70 Units / 1% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+3.64 Units / 8% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)
Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+11.70 Units / 1% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+3.71 Units / 14% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 7-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.4 Units / -34.64% ROI).
- 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -0.46% ROI
- 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.15 Units / -13.04% ROI
- 12-10 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 4.12% ROI
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 12-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- 18-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.55 Units / 1.59% ROI
- 8-12 when betting the Over for -5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI
- 12-8 when betting the Under for +3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has averaged 38.8 points per game (2,212 points/57 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35.2
North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
North Carolina averaged 1.31 points per shot (2,903 points/2,214 shots) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
North Carolina had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (185 assists/ 104 TOs) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Duke has averaged 1.37 points per shot (1,600 points/1,172 shots) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.29
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (876 assists/ 549 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Duke had an eFG% of 55% last season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
North Carolina has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (626 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has allowed 59.6 points per game (1,191 points/20 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.1
Duke has allowed 65.5 points per game (1,245 points/19 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.6
Duke has allowed an average of 1.06 points per shot (610 points/578 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.32
Duke has averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,477 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
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