- Louisville is a -1.5 point favorite vs North Carolina
- Total (Over/Under): 164.5 points
- North Carolina / Louisville TV channel: ACCN
The North Carolina Tar Heels visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals on Jan. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Louisville, KY.
Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The North Carolina vs. Louisville Over/Under is 164.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina | +1.5 -110 | O 164.5 -110 | +105 |
| Louisville | -1.5 -110 | U 164.5 -110 | -125 |
North Carolina vs Louisville Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 78.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina vs Louisville Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 60.3% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+4.25 Units / 1% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Louisville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.92 Units / 13% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 5-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.8 Units / -26.67% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 0.31% ROI
- 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI
- 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI
Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Louisville has a 6-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 0.88% ROI
- 4-9 when betting the Over for -5.95 Units / -41.46% ROI
- 9-4 when betting the Under for +4.65 Units / 32.52% ROI
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
North Carolina had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
North Carolina averaged 1.31 points per shot (2,903 points/2,214 shots) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
North Carolina has averaged 83.9 points per game (4,028 points/48 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.9
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Louisville has attempted 422 threes this season — most among ACC Teams
Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Louisville has attempted 203 threes in the second half this season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina has allowed 39.0 points per game (507 points/13 games) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6
North Carolina has averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,386 rebounds/48 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.6
North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville allowed an average of 1.40 points per shot (1,958 points/1,397 shots) last season — 5th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28
Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (266/714) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%
Louisville averaged 5.5 steals per game (169 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
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