North Carolina vs Ole Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 21

Texas A&M forward Andersson Garcia (11) guards Mississippi guard Matthew Murrell (11) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Oxford, Miss., Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023. Texas A&M won 69-61. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
(AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
  • North Carolina is a -1.5 point favorite vs Ole Miss
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • North Carolina / Ole Miss TV channel: TNT

The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Ole Miss Rebels on Mar. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI, USA.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The North Carolina vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina-1.5 -110O 155.5 -105-125
Ole Miss +1.5 -110U 155.5 -115+105

North Carolina vs Ole Miss Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 54.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+11.95 Units / 3% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+5.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 39 games (+3.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 games (+1.55 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+15.55 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.40 Units / 12% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 16-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.95 Units / -12.5% ROI).

  • 23-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 0.32% ROI
  • 19-17 when betting the Over for +0.35 Units / 0.89% ROI
  • 17-19 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / -9.84% ROI

Ole Miss Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ole Miss has a 15-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.7 Units / -7.42% ROI).

  • 22-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.55 Units / 2.5% ROI
  • 17-16 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -1.38% ROI
  • 16-17 when betting the Under for -2.75 Units / -7.54% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has 1,962 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina is shooting 48% (1,005/2,110) this season — 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (509 assists/ 346 TOs) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

North Carolina averaged 1.31 points per shot (2,903 points/2,214 shots) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (295 turnovers/33 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Ole Miss is shooting 32% from three (115/361) in the second half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Ole Miss has averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (295 turnovers/33 games) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Ole Miss has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (468 assists/ 295 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina has averaged 28.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,962 rebounds/70 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has averaged 8.8 steals per game (290 steals/33 games) this season — 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Ole Miss averaged 8.1 steals per game (242 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Ole Miss averaged 8.1 steals per game (242 steals/30 games) last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Ole Miss has 290 steals this season — tied for 6th most among Power Conference teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.