North Carolina vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

Pittsburgh head coach Jeff Capel questions a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
  • Pittsburgh is a -3.5 point favorite vs North Carolina
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • North Carolina / Pittsburgh TV channel: ESPN

The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Petersen Events Center to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Pittsburgh, PA, USA.

Pittsburgh is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina+3.5 -105O 153.5 -105+145
Pittsburgh -3.5 -115U 153.5 -115-175

North Carolina vs Pittsburgh Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 63.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 68.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+3.64 Units / 8% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 games (+3.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games (+17.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+12.40 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+7.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 7-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.3 Units / -31.53% ROI).

  • 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -0.33% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.05 Units / -8.89% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI).

  • 14-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 3.65% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 11.03% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Under for -4.05 Units / -19.33% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (168 assists/ 101 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

North Carolina has averaged 82.5 points per game (1,732 points/21 games) this season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.4

North Carolina has averaged 82.8 points per game (4,635 points/56 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.8

North Carolina averaged 36% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (799 free throw attempts/2,214 field goal attempts) last season — 38th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Pittsburgh has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (357 assists/ 199 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Pittsburgh has averaged 3.9 turnovers per game (199 turnovers/51 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.2

Pittsburgh averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 28.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,610 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (130/457) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

North Carolina has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (598 rebounds/21 games) this season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has averaged 6.7 steals per game (342 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Pittsburgh has averaged 7.0 steals per game (218 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Pittsburgh allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (216/691) last season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (215/712) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%


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