North Carolina State vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

Duke head coach Jon Scheyer watches from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
  • Duke is a -21.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • North Carolina State / Duke TV channel: ESPN

The North Carolina State Wolfpack visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Durham, NC, USA.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-115).

The North Carolina State vs. Duke Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+21.5 -105O 134.5 -110+1450
Duke -21.5 -115U 134.5 -110-5000

North Carolina State vs Duke Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina State vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 62.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 41 games (+11.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 away games (+4.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 away games (+4.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games (+3.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 away games (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 37 games (+21.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+12.70 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 6-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.3 Units / -39.62% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -0.82% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting the Over for -8.3 Units / -39.71% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting the Under for +6.4 Units / 30.62% ROI

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 12-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI).

  • 17-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.55 Units / 1.55% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Over for -6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Under for +4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (177 turnovers/19 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.3

North Carolina State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (501 assists/ 369 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

North Carolina State has made 5.7 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0

North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (177 turnovers/19 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (178 assists/ 98 TOs) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke has made 10.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (325 assists/ 197 TOs) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke shot 41% from three (153/372) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (417 rebounds/19 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

North Carolina State averaged 7.3 steals per game (286 steals/39 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

North Carolina State stole the ball 286 times last season — 6th most among Power Conference teams

North Carolina State has averaged 7.6 steals per game (259 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.06 points per shot (583 points/550 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.32

Duke has allowed 30.7 points per game (583 points/19 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 37.4

Duke has allowed 59.3 points per game (1,127 points/19 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (203/550) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%


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