Northern Iowa vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 19

SMU guard Boopie Miller dribbles against Alabama State guard Shawn Fulcher during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game, Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024, in Dallas. (AP Photo/LM Otero)
(AP Photo/LM Otero)
  • SMU is a -10.5 point favorite vs Northern Iowa
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Northern Iowa / SMU TV channel: ESPN2

The Northern Iowa Panthers visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs on Mar. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Dallas, TX, USA.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Northern Iowa vs. SMU Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Northern Iowa vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Iowa+10.5 -115O 148.5 -115+425
SMU -10.5 -105U 148.5 -105-600

Northern Iowa vs SMU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Iowa vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northern Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+2.35 Units / 3% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+5.30 Units / 0% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+2.75 Units / 0% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.76 Units / 5% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)

Northern Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Iowa has a 19-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.8 Units / 16.93% ROI).

  • 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.31% ROI
  • 11-20 when betting the Over for -11 Units / -32.26% ROI
  • 20-11 when betting the Under for +7.9 Units / 23.17% ROI

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 17-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.55 Units / -1.52% ROI).

  • 22-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 0.31% ROI
  • 17-16 when betting the Over for -0.65 Units / -1.79% ROI
  • 16-17 when betting the Under for -2.75 Units / -7.58% ROI

Northern Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa averaged 8.1 offensive rebounds per game (251 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Northern Iowa has averaged 10.4 turnovers per game (644 turnovers/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Northern Iowa made 457 free throws last season — 3rd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Northern Iowa averaged 73.0 points per game (2,263 points/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 73.5

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

SMU has averaged 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (417 rebounds/33 games) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.1

SMU has a 37% free throw rate (713 free throw attempts/1,945 field goal attempts) this season — 32nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

SMU has averaged 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (873 rebounds/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.9

Northern Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa averaged 6.4 steals per game (198 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Northern Iowa has averaged 6.1 steals per game (377 steals/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Northern Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (501/1,422) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Northern Iowa allowed 70.7 points per game (2,192 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.1

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has averaged 8.9 steals per game (331 steals/37 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

SMU has averaged 8.1 steals per game (527 steals/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

SMU has averaged 8.0 steals per game (263 steals/33 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.