Northwestern vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 5

In this photo taken on Tuesday, Feb. 16, 2021, Purdue plays against Michigan State at Mackey Arena during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in West Lafayette, Ind. Mackey Arena is one of six venues hosting NCAA Tournament games later this week.
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
  • Purdue is a -6.5 point favorite vs Northwestern
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Northwestern / Purdue TV channel: BTN

The Northwestern Wildcats visit Mackey Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers on Jan. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in West Lafayette, IN.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (+100).

The Northwestern vs. Purdue Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Northwestern vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northwestern+6.5 -120O 138.5 -110+220
Purdue -6.5 +100U 138.5 -110-275

Northwestern vs Purdue Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 78.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northwestern vs Purdue Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 25 games at home (+19.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 38 games (+9.01 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 2.36% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 6-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 4.45% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.03% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -17.65% ROI

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has averaged 7.6 turnovers per game (213 turnovers/28 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 10.8

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (469 assists/ 213 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.5

Northwestern had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (498 assists/ 290 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Northwestern had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (498 assists/ 290 TOs) last season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue is shooting 40% from three (425/1,051) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Purdue averaged 18.6 assists per game (690 assists/37 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Purdue has averaged 1.42 points per shot (4,130 points/2,912 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.30

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (736 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Northwestern has averaged 8.8 steals per game (123 steals/14 games) this season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Northwestern averaged 7.2 steals per game (229 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Northwestern stole the ball 229 times last season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Purdue allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,181 points/1,135 shots) in the first half last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.15

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Purdue forced 9.4 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/37 games) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8


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