Northwestern vs UCLA Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 18

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2023, 11:20 AM
  • UCLA (30-5) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Northwestern (22-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 127.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Northwestern Wildcats (22-11) visit Golden 1 Center to take on the UCLA Bruins (30-5) on Mar. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Sacramento.

UCLA is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Northwestern vs. UCLA Over/Under is 127.5 total points.

Bet now on UCLA vs Northwestern & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Northwestern vs. UCLA Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northwestern+7.5 -105O 127.5 -115+290
UCLA -7.5 -115U 127.5 -105-375

Northwestern vs UCLA Prediction for March Madness:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UCLA will win this March Madness game with 67.8% confidence.

Northwestern vs UCLA Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Northwestern and UCLA, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on UCLA vs Northwestern and all games with BetMGM


  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+14.45 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+13.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 47 games (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 41 games (+22.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 48 games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 46 games (+7.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has gone 20-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.7 Units / 15.7% ROI).

  • 21-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.3 Units / 11.4% ROI
  • 13-20 when betting the Over for -9 Units / -24.79% ROI
  • 20-13 when betting the Under for +5.7 Units / 15.7% ROI

UCLA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCLA has gone 21-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 23-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.55 Units / 10.35% ROI
  • 17-18 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -7.26% ROI
  • 18-17 when betting the Under for -0.65 Units / -1.69% ROI

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern is shooting 41% (522/1,289) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Northwestern is shooting 39% (257/665) in the first half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Northwestern is shooting 41% (522/1,289) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (787 assists/ 531 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCLA has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (321 turnovers/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 12.4

UCLA has a 24% free throw rate (334 free throw attempts/1,364 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

UCLA has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (174 assists/ 105 TOs) in the first half this season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

UCLA has averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (275 turnovers/57 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 5.8

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has averaged 8.1 steals per game (178 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Northwestern has 178 steals this season — 2nd most among Big 10 Teams

Northwestern has averaged 6.9 steals per game (240 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Northwestern has 379 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams

UCLA Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCLA has allowed 28.3 points per game (622 points/22 games) in the first half this season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 31.4

UCLA has forced 15.9 turnovers per game (238 turnovers/15 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 12.2

UCLA has forced 16.8 turnovers per game (369 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 12.8

UCLA has allowed 60.6 points per game (1,334 points/22 games) this season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 66.3


Bet now on UCLA vs Northwestern and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.