Notre Dame vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

Duke head coach Jon Scheyer watches from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
  • Duke is a -19.5 point favorite vs Notre Dame
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Notre Dame / Duke TV channel: ESPN

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Durham, NC.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-115).

The Notre Dame vs. Duke Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Notre Dame vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Notre Dame+19.5 -105O 136.5 -115+1400
Duke -19.5 -115U 136.5 -105-5000

Notre Dame vs Duke Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Notre Dame vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 65.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 14 away games (+0.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+14.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.86 Units / 22% ROI)

Notre Dame Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Notre Dame has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 8.48% ROI).

  • 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -2.23% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.45 Units / 8.81% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -16.92% ROI

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 10-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 13-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 1.39% ROI
  • 5-10 when betting the Over for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame shot 40% (715/1,769) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Notre Dame shot 39% (341/870) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Notre Dame averaged 1.18 points per shot (1,023 points/870 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.34

Notre Dame averaged 4.4 assists per game (142 assists/32 games) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (132 assists/ 79 TOs) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (251 assists/ 155 TOs) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke shot 41% from three (153/372) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (251 assists/ 155 TOs) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame has averaged 5.9 steals per game (172 steals/29 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Notre Dame averaged 5.7 steals per game (181 steals/32 games) last season — 5th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Notre Dame has averaged 5.1 steals per game (76 steals/15 games) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Notre Dame has averaged 5.1 steals per game (76 steals/15 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.01 points per shot (876 points/866 shots) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Duke has allowed 58.4 points per game (876 points/15 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 36% (310/866) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Duke has allowed 30.0 points per game (450 points/15 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 37.1


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