Notre Dame vs Florida State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

Florida State head coach Leonard Hamilton gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023. Florida State won 71-64.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
  • Florida State is a -2.5 point favorite vs Notre Dame
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Notre Dame / Florida State TV channel: ACCN

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish visit Donald L. Tucker Center to take on the Florida State Seminoles on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Tallahassee, FL, USA.

Florida State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Notre Dame vs. Florida State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Notre Dame vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Notre Dame+2.5 -105O 142.5 -105+125
Florida State -2.5 -115U 142.5 -115-150

Notre Dame vs Florida State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Notre Dame vs Florida State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.02 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Florida State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+3.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)

Notre Dame Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Notre Dame has a 11-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.15 Units / 4.99% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -3.67% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -0.95 Units / -4.12% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.32% ROI

Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida State has a 12-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -1.88% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame shot 40% (715/1,769) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Notre Dame shot 39% (341/870) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Notre Dame averaged 4.4 assists per game (142 assists/32 games) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Notre Dame averaged 1.18 points per shot (1,023 points/870 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.34

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has a 38% free throw rate (547 free throw attempts/1,442 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 29%

Florida State shot 70% from the free throw line (483/687) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Florida State is shooting 32% from three (136/432) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Florida State has averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (316 turnovers/53 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.2

Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame has forced 8.0 turnovers per game (177 turnovers/22 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.6

Notre Dame has averaged 4.7 steals per game (103 steals/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Notre Dame has averaged 5.5 steals per game (292 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Notre Dame has averaged 5.3 steals per game (111 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (210 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Florida State has averaged 8.9 steals per game (473 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Florida State has forced 13.8 turnovers per game (330 turnovers/24 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.6

Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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