Omaha vs South Dakota State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 12:13 PM
  • South Dakota State (18-12) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Omaha (9-22)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Omaha Mavericks (9-22) visit Denny Sanford Premier Center to take on the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (18-12) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Sioux Falls.

South Dakota State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Omaha vs. South Dakota State Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Omaha vs. South Dakota State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Omaha+11.5 -115O 143.5 -110+450
South Dakota State -11.5 -105U 143.5 -110-650

Omaha vs South Dakota State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Dakota State will win this game with 59.9% confidence.

Omaha vs South Dakota State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Dakota State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Omaha and South Dakota State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Omaha has hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Omaha have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Omaha have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 48 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Omaha has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Omaha has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 46 games (+19.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+6.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • South Dakota State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Omaha Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Omaha has gone 16-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI).

  • 8-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.4 Units / -31.23% ROI
  • 18-11 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 17.88% ROI
  • 11-18 when betting the Under for -8.8 Units / -26.67% ROI

South Dakota State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Dakota State has gone 14-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 6.34% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI

Omaha Offensive Stats & Trends:

Omaha is shooting 34% from three (134/389) this season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 35%

Omaha has made 5.6 three-pointers per game this season — 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Omaha has averaged 7.6 offensive rebounds per game (183 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Omaha is shooting 45% (607/1,343) this season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 45%

South Dakota State Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Dakota State has averaged 5.5 offensive rebounds per game (133 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

South Dakota State is shooting 40% from three (510/1,269) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

South Dakota State is shooting 49% (1,669/3,401) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 45%

South Dakota State has 789 assists since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Summit Teams

Omaha Defensive Stats & Trends:

Omaha has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (537 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Omaha has averaged 5.7 steals per game (136 steals/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Omaha has 136 steals this season — 4th most among Summit Teams

Omaha has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (645/1,393) this season — tied for 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

South Dakota State Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Dakota State has averaged 5.1 steals per game (123 steals/24 games) this season — 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

South Dakota State has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 23.9

South Dakota State has averaged 26.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,540 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.4

South Dakota State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (336 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.