Penn State vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 8

Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
  • Illinois is a -9.5 point favorite vs Penn State
  • Total (Over/Under): 164.5 points
  • Penn State / Illinois TV channel: BTN

The Penn State Nittany Lions visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini on Jan. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Champaign, IL.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Penn State vs. Illinois Over/Under is 164.5 total points.

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Penn State vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Penn State+9.5 -105O 164.5 -110+375
Illinois -9.5 -115U 164.5 -110-500

Penn State vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Penn State vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+10.15 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+3.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+19.50 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+9.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.11 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+3.70 Units / 8% ROI)

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has a 6-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 12-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 1.59% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -16.97% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 8.48% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 6-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.05 Units / -19.49% ROI).

  • 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 1.79% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (156 assists/ 86 TOs) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.5

Penn State has averaged 1.42 points per shot (1,302 points/919 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Penn State has averaged 86.8 points per game (1,302 points/15 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 75.1

Penn State has averaged 18.1 assists per game (271 assists/15 games) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 14.1

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 84.1 points per game (4,290 points/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Illinois averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (487 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Illinois averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (487 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Illinois averaged 82.8 points per game (3,063 points/37 games) last season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (731 rebounds/32 games) last season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Penn State has averaged 9.8 steals per game (274 steals/28 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Penn State has averaged 9.7 steals per game (146 steals/15 games) this season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Penn State stole the ball 266 times last season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (453 rebounds/14 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.2

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (941 points/906 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.16

Illinois has averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (453 rebounds/14 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.2

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (941 points/906 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.16


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