Penn State vs Ohio State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 23, 2023, 11:44 AM
  • Ohio State (11-16) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Penn State (16-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Penn State Nittany Lions (16-11) visit Value City Arena to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes (11-16) on Feb. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Columbus.

Ohio State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Penn State vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Penn State vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Penn State+2.5 -110O 142.5 -110+120
Ohio State -2.5 -110U 142.5 -110-145

Penn State vs Ohio State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 55.7% confidence.

Penn State vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and Ohio State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Penn State have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+9.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ohio State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has gone 16-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 8.16% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI

Ohio State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ohio State has gone 8-19 against the spread this college basketball season (-12.9 Units / -43.43% ROI).

  • 5-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.85 Units / -67.84% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.35 Units / -1.18% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.09% ROI

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has made 236 three-pointers this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (190 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2

Penn State has averaged 5.6 offensive rebounds per game (123 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.6

Penn State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (323 assists/ 190 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State is shooting 46% (621/1,337) this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Ohio State is shooting 38% from three (154/407) this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ohio State is shooting 77% from the free throw line (295/382) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Ohio State has averaged 75.9 points per game (1,669 points/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71.6

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 5.0 steals per game (111 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Penn State has averaged 4.7 steals per game (107 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5

Penn State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (275 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Penn State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (168 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,487 points/1,313 shots) this season — tied for 5th highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.13

Ohio State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (540/1,313) this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Ohio State has averaged 4.8 steals per game (260 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7

Ohio State has allowed 67.6 points per game (1,487 points/22 games) this season — 5th highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 65.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.