- Texas (27-8) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Penn State (23-13)
- Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Penn State Nittany Lions (23-13) visit Wells Fargo Arena to take on the Texas Longhorns (27-8) on Mar. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in Des Moines.
Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Penn State vs. Texas Over/Under is 139.5 total points.
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Penn State vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Penn State | +5.5 -110 | O 139.5 -115 | +200 |
| Texas | -5.5 -110 | U 139.5 -105 | -250 |
Penn State vs Texas Prediction for March Madness:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this March Madness game with 59.7% confidence.
Penn State vs Texas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Penn State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+14.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+9.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Texas Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Moneyline in their last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+8.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Penn State has gone 23-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+9.8 Units / 0% ROI).
- 21-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.35 Units / 15.13% ROI
- 20-16 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 6.06% ROI
- 16-20 when betting the Under for -6 Units / -15.15% ROI
Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Texas has gone 18-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / -1.82% ROI).
- 20-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.85 Units / 9.16% ROI
- 16-17 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -7.01% ROI
- 17-16 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -1.56% ROI
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Penn State has made 236 three-pointers this season — most among Big 10 Teams
Penn State has made 136 three-pointers in the first half this season — most among Big 10 Teams
Penn State has averaged 5.6 offensive rebounds per game (123 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.6
Penn State has averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (190 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2
Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:
Texas has a TS% of 51% in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%
Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Texas has averaged 1.27 points per shot (156 points/123 shots) on left wing attempts this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.99
Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Penn State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (275 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9
Penn State has averaged 5.0 steals per game (111 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Penn State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (168 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Penn State has averaged 4.7 steals per game (107 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5
Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:
Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%
Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%
Texas allowed opponents to shoot 17% from three off the dribble (6/36) in the first half last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 27%
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