- Saint Mary’s is a -17.5 point favorite vs Pepperdine
- Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
- Pepperdine / Saint Mary’s TV channel: ESPN+
The Pepperdine Waves visit University Credit Union Pavilion to take on the Saint Mary’s Gaels on Jan. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Moraga, CA.
Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-105).
The Pepperdine vs. Saint Mary’s Over/Under is 142.5 total points.
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Pepperdine vs. Saint Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Pepperdine | +17.5 -115 | O 142.5 -110 | +1050 |
| Saint Mary’s | -17.5 -105 | U 142.5 -110 | -2500 |
Pepperdine vs Saint Mary’s Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Pepperdine vs Saint Mary’s Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Pepperdine will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence for today’s game.
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Pepperdine Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Pepperdine has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- Pepperdine has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- Pepperdine has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Saint Mary’s Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 32 games (+19.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 29 games (+12.90 Units / 3% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.70 Units / 7% ROI)
Pepperdine Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Pepperdine has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -31.39% ROI
- 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
- 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Saint Mary’s has a 2-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.15 Units / -70.73% ROI).
- 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.52% ROI
- 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.88% ROI
- 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.65 Units / -4.56% ROI
Pepperdine Offensive Stats & Trends:
Pepperdine has averaged 16.9 assists per game (254 assists/15 games) this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 14.2
Pepperdine had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (404 assists/ 325 TOs) last season — tied for 4th lowest among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Pepperdine has averaged 16.9 assists per game (254 assists/15 games) this season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 15.7
Pepperdine shot 36% from three (202/557) last season — 2nd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 35%
Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:
Saint Mary’s has averaged 15.3 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/14 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.6
Saint Mary’s averaged 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (420 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Saint Mary’s has averaged 14.4 offensive rebounds per game (634 rebounds/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0
Saint Mary’s has 214 offensive rebounds this season — 2nd most among Division 1 Teams
Pepperdine Defensive Stats & Trends:
Pepperdine has averaged 6.0 steals per game (90 steals/15 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Pepperdine has averaged 5.5 steals per game (242 steals/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Pepperdine has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (409 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 48th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 25.0
Pepperdine forced 11.7 turnovers per game (339 turnovers/29 games) last season — 4th best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 11.1
Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:
Saint Mary’s allowed 59.3 points per game (1,778 points/30 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Saint Mary’s allowed 4.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Saint Mary’s has allowed 60.9 points per game (2,678 points/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.1
Saint Mary’s stole the ball 200 times last season — 4th most among West Coast Conference Teams
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