Pittsburgh vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 7

Duke head coach Jon Scheyer watches from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
  • Duke is a -14.5 point favorite vs Pittsburgh
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Pittsburgh / Duke TV channel: ESPN

The Pittsburgh Panthers visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Jan. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Durham, NC.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Pittsburgh vs. Duke Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Pittsburgh vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Pittsburgh+14.5 -110O 143.5 -115+800
Duke -14.5 -110U 143.5 -105-1400

Pittsburgh vs Duke Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Pittsburgh vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+23.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 32 games (+15.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.96 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+14.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.86 Units / 19% ROI)

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has a 10-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • 13-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 6.14% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 9.77% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.75 Units / -17.8% ROI

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 9-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI).

  • 12-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 1.25% ROI
  • 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
  • 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (326 assists/ 184 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Pittsburgh has averaged 4.0 turnovers per game (184 turnovers/46 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.2

Pittsburgh has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (430 turnovers/46 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Pittsburgh averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke shot 41% from three (153/372) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (234 assists/ 141 TOs) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke shot 48% (983/2,060) last season — 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Duke had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (541 assists/ 342 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (188/650) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Pittsburgh allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (216/691) last season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (311/1,008) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Pittsburgh has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (957 points/824 shots) this season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.00 points per shot (402 points/400 shots) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.12

Duke has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (829 points/808 shots) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Duke has averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (395 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Duke has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,301 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.6


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