Portland vs Saint Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 19

(AP Photo)
  • Saint Mary’s is a -25.5 point favorite vs Portland
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Portland / Saint Mary’s TV channel: ESPN+

The Portland Pilots visit University Credit Union Pavilion to take on the Saint Mary’s Gaels on Feb. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Moraga, CA, USA.

Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -25.5 (-110).

The Portland vs. Saint Mary’s Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Portland vs. Saint Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Portland+25.5 -110O 138.5 -110+2800
Saint Mary’s -25.5 -110U 138.5 -110-10000

Portland vs Saint Mary’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Portland vs Saint Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Saint Mary’s will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Portland has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 away games (+7.55 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Portland has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 29 games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Portland have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Portland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Portland has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 33 games (+19.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+12.35 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Portland Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Portland has a 12-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.25 Units / -8.21% ROI).

  • 8-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.17% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +3.95 Units / 14.34% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.5 Units / -23.68% ROI

Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Mary’s has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.45 Units / -12.04% ROI).

  • 21-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.85 Units / 2.68% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -23.04% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Under for +3.95 Units / 13.84% ROI

Portland Offensive Stats & Trends:

Portland has averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (360 turnovers/27 games) this season — tied for 30th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Portland averaged 1.26 points per shot (2,245 points/1,777 shots) last season — tied for 4th lowest among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Portland averaged 31% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (552 free throw attempts/1,777 field goal attempts) last season — 4th highest among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 30%

Portland has made 227 three-pointers this season — 4th most among West Coast Conference Teams

Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s averaged 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (420 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Saint Mary’s has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (437 assists/ 263 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Saint Mary’s has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (905 assists/ 580 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Saint Mary’s has averaged 9.7 turnovers per game (263 turnovers/27 games) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Portland Defensive Stats & Trends:

Portland has averaged 4.8 steals per game (129 steals/27 games) this season — lowest among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Portland allowed 10.6 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Portland has allowed 10.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Portland averaged 4.1 steals per game (127 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s has allowed 59.8 points per game (3,411 points/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.2

Saint Mary’s has allowed 5.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Saint Mary’s has allowed 60.5 points per game (1,633 points/27 games) this season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 72.2

Saint Mary’s allowed 59.3 points per game (1,778 points/30 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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