- UConn (26-8) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Saint Mary’s (27-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 126.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT
The Saint Mary’s Gaels (27-7) visit MVP Arena to take on the UConn Huskies (26-8) on Mar. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Albany.
UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Saint Mary’s vs. UConn Over/Under is 126.5 total points.
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Saint Mary’s vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Saint Mary’s | Saint Mary`s CA +4.5 -115 | O 126.5 -105 | +160 |
| UConn | -4.5 -105 | U 126.5 -115 | -190 |
Saint Mary’s vs UConn Prediction for March Madness:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UConn will win this March Madness game with 56.2% confidence.
Saint Mary’s vs UConn Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Saint Mary’s will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Saint Mary’s and UConn, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Saint Mary’s Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 49 games (+12.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 49 games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 49 games (+3.90 Units / 7% ROI)
UConn Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UConn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 38 games (+15.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- UConn have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 38 games (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- UConn have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- UConn has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- UConn has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Saint Mary’s has gone 17-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.6 Units / 0% ROI).
- 25-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.47% ROI
- 16-17 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -7.44% ROI
- 17-16 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI
UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UConn has gone 22-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+8.85 Units / 23.66% ROI).
- 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -1.63% ROI
- 19-15 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 6.68% ROI
- 15-19 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / -15.78% ROI
Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:
Saint Mary’s has averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (263 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 12.8
Saint Mary’s is shooting 38% from three (189/503) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Saint Mary’s has 14.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7
Saint Mary’s has averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (263 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5
UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:
UConn has averaged 17.3 assists per game (398 assists/23 games) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3
UConn has an eFG% of 53% this season — 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
UConn has averaged 6.5 turnovers per game (365 turnovers/56 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 5.9
UConn has averaged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (293 rebounds/23 games) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5
Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:
Saint Mary’s has 180 steals this season — tied for 2nd most among West Coast Conference Teams
Saint Mary’s has averaged 7.5 steals per game (180 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.5
Saint Mary’s has 415 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among West Coast Conference Teams
Saint Mary’s has averaged 7.2 steals per game (415 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.2
UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:
UConn has averaged 6.6 steals per game (226 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.2
UConn has averaged 6.8 steals per game (157 steals/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.1
UConn has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
UConn has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,497 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
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