Samford vs East Tennessee State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:47 PM
  • Samford (11-7) is a -5.5 point favorite vs East Tennessee State (8-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Samford / East Tennessee State TV channel: ESPN+

The Samford Bulldogs (11-7) visit Freedom Hall to take on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (8-10) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Johnson City, TN.

Samford is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Samford vs. East Tennessee State Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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Samford vs. East Tennessee State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Samford-5.5 -115O 155.5 -105-250
East Tennessee State +5.5 -110U 155.5 -115+200

Samford vs East Tennessee State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Samford will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Samford vs East Tennessee State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts East Tennessee State will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Samford has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+7.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 28 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)

Samford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Samford has a 11-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI).

  • 13-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 12.82% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Over for -0.95 Units / -4.79% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Under for -0.9 Units / -4.56% ROI

East Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Tennessee State has a 8-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.05 Units / -15.37% ROI).

  • 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -18.54% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Over for +3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Under for -5.1 Units / -25.76% ROI

Samford Offensive Stats & Trends:

Samford has averaged 89.2 points per game (1,785 points/20 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 76.3

Samford has averaged 89.2 points per game (1,785 points/20 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.3

Samford has a 37% free throw rate (1,170 free throw attempts/3,129 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 30%

Samford has averaged 18.9 assists per game (378 assists/20 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.6

East Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State is shooting 40% (494/1,231) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

East Tennessee State is shooting 29% from three (153/521) this season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Tennessee State has averaged 1.16 points per shot (1,433 points/1,231 shots) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

East Tennessee State is shooting 31% from three (356/1,154) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Samford Defensive Stats & Trends:

Samford has averaged 9.4 steals per game (489 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Samford has 229 steals this season — most among Southern Teams

Samford has averaged 11.4 steals per game (229 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Samford has averaged 11.4 steals per game (229 steals/20 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.5

East Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State has averaged 7.0 steals per game (140 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.5

East Tennessee State has 140 steals this season — 4th most among Southern Teams

East Tennessee State has 335 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Southern Teams

East Tennessee State has averaged 6.4 steals per game (335 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.