San Diego State vs Boise State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 4

(AP Photo)
  • Boise State is a -4.5 point favorite vs San Diego State
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • San Diego State / Boise State TV channel: CBS

The San Diego State Aztecs visit ExtraMile Arena to take on the Boise State Broncos on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Boise, ID.

Boise State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The San Diego State vs. Boise State Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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San Diego State vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Diego State+4.5 -110O 137.5 -115+155
Boise State -4.5 -110U 137.5 -105-190

San Diego State vs Boise State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this college basketball game with 75.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

San Diego State vs Boise State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 62.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.83 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+10.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+8.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+1.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has a 3-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).

  • 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 5.75% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has a 5-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.8 Units / -26.3% ROI).

  • 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.16% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 2.08% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.97% ROI

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

San Diego State shot 44% (926/2,100) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 46%

San Diego State shot 32% from three (251/795) last season — 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

San Diego State had a TS% of 46% last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has made 6.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Boise State is shooting 31% from three (87/281) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Boise State has a 41% free throw rate (325 free throw attempts/793 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Boise State had an eFG% of 52% last season — 3rd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% (230/646) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (83/235) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 47%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (84/289) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,073/2,706) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (919 points/818 shots) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Boise State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (340/818) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

Boise State allowed 66.0 points per game (1,979 points/30 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.1

Boise State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (98/311) this season — 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.