SMU vs Indiana State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2024, 4:56 PM
  • NIT Tournament First Round betting odds & predictions
  • Indiana State (19-13) is a -7.5 point favorite vs SMU (14-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • SMU / Indiana State TV channel: ESPN+

The SMU Mustangs (14-16) visit Hulman Center to take on the Indiana State Sycamores (19-13) on Mar. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Terre Haute, IN.

Indiana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (+100).

The SMU vs. Indiana State Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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SMU vs. Indiana State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
SMU+7.5 -120O 156.5 -115+
Indiana State -7.5 +100U 156.5 -105+

SMU vs Indiana State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Indiana State will win this college basketball game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

SMU vs Indiana State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 25 games (+2.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games (+6.40 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Indiana State have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.55 Units / -7.47% ROI).

  • 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.8 Units / -9.81% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.75 Units / -19.79% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.75 Units / 11% ROI

Indiana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Indiana State has a 18-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.55 Units / 4.28% ROI).

  • 24-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -1.68% ROI
  • 19-14 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 9.88% ROI
  • 14-19 when betting the Under for -6.75 Units / -18.67% ROI

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (386 assists/ 275 TOs) this season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

SMU has averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (329 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

SMU is shooting 68% from the free throw line (709/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

SMU has averaged 16.1 assists per game (386 assists/24 games) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 13.2

Indiana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has averaged 1.49 points per shot (2,045 points/1,374 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Indiana State has averaged 1.49 points per shot (2,045 points/1,374 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Indiana State has attempted 1,656 threes since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State has an eFG% of 61% this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (27/107) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (552/1,407) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

SMU has averaged 7.8 steals per game (435 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

SMU has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,550 points/1,407 shots) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Indiana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (693 rebounds/24 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Indiana State has averaged 28.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,682 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Indiana State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (159/504) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Indiana State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (159/504) this season — 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.