- North Carolina is a -6.5 point favorite vs SMU
- Total (Over/Under): 166.5 points
- SMU / North Carolina TV channel: ACCN
The SMU Mustangs visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels on Jan. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The SMU vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 166.5 total points.
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SMU vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| SMU | +6.5 -110 | O 166.5 -110 | +220 |
| North Carolina | -6.5 -110 | U 166.5 -110 | -275 |
SMU vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 70.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
SMU vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 58.4% confidence for today’s game.
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SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+5.65 Units / 1% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+3.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+1.90 Units / 0% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+1.64 Units / 4% ROI)
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 0.1% ROI
- 10-4 when betting the Over for +5.5 Units / 35.6% ROI
- 4-10 when betting the Under for -7.05 Units / -45.93% ROI
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 5-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6 Units / -36.47% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 0.31% ROI
- 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.45 Units / 14.89% ROI
- 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / -23.57% ROI
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
SMU averaged 15.2 assists per game (488 assists/32 games) last season — tied for 47th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4
SMU has averaged 85.4 points per game (1,195 points/14 games) this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 75.1
SMU has averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (652 rebounds/46 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
North Carolina averaged 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (441 rebounds/35 games) last season — 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
North Carolina averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/35 games) last season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
North Carolina had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (509 assists/ 346 TOs) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
SMU has averaged 8.0 steals per game (368 steals/46 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (257/649) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 46%
SMU allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,171 points/1,857 shots) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina has allowed 38.4 points per game (576 points/15 games) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.0
North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 41% (891/2,158) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%
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